Historical Volatility Calculator

Direct answer

The Historical Volatility Calculator converts a pasted closing-price series into the standard deviation of log daily returns, annualizes it, and shows ±1σ and ±2σ price bands around the latest close.

The historical volatility calculator turns pasted closing prices into log-return standard deviation, annualizes it, and shows ±1σ/±2σ bands around the last close.

Historical Volatility Calculator

Scenarios / details

BandUpperLower

Key data & facts

Annualization
Daily vol × √365Example: 2% × √365 ≈ 38%
Example daily vol
2%±2% daily moves are normal
Example annualized vol
≈ 38%
Price bands
±1σ / ±2σCentered on the latest close

What is the Historical Volatility Calculator?

Volatility measures price churn, not direction. Annualized vol = daily vol × √365 — useful for checking whether a grid range matches the market.

How to use

  1. Enter realistic parameters.
  2. Check gross vs net.
  3. Verify exchange rules before acting.

Model notes

Estimation approach
Linear estimation from page parameters
Slippage and shock scenarios are not included

Arbitrage windows shift in real time; treat results as magnitude references.

Example

Daily vol 2% means ±2% daily moves are normal; ×√365 ≈ 38% annualized.

Practical tips

  • Compare grid range width against 1–2σ annualized vol for coverage.
  • Paste at least 30 closes; more is more stable.

FAQ

Are results guaranteed?

No. Results follow simplified models and do not promise future returns.

Which live risks are not shown?

Slippage, funding direction, withdrawal delays and exchange rule changes are not fully captured.

How do I reduce model error?

Use real-time fees, delivery dates and price quotes, and keep positions small while testing.

Sources & references